20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEMNYSENewmont Corporation | 2011-01-142011-02-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.85% |
| 2 | LRCXNASDAQLam Research Corporation | 2023-11-212023-12-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.78% |
| 3 | DPZNASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc. | 2016-05-172016-06-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.77% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +1.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, though intra-window downside risk was elevated; the weakest final outcome was +0.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.