20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EIXNYSEEdison International | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.17% |
| 2 | REGNNASDAQRegeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 2026-01-152026-02-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.39% |
| 3 | MKCNYSEMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | 2011-09-082011-10-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.83% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -0.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.