20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AIZNYSEAssurant Inc. | 2020-07-072020-08-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +15.76% |
| 2 | MSCINYSEMSCI Inc. | 2008-12-092009-01-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -7.49% |
| 3 | FITBNASDAQFifth Third Bancorp | 2012-07-312012-08-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.94% |
| 4 | GSNYSEThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 2019-12-092020-01-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +4.32% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +2.6%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.