20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNHNYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 2012-03-072012-04-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.32% |
| 2 | LULUNASDAQlululemon athletica inc. | 2009-08-192009-09-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.92% |
| 3 | BMYNYSEBristol-Myers Squibb Company | 2013-08-222013-09-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.26% |
| 4 | COFNYSECapital One Financial Corporation | 2016-10-182016-11-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.66% |
| 5 | PPGNYSEPPG Industries Inc. | 2020-10-142020-11-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.32% |
| 6 | PHNYSEParker-Hannifin Corporation | 2020-10-142020-11-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.75% |
| 7 | HCANYSEHCA Healthcare Inc. | 2020-10-142020-11-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.60% |
| 8 | VRSKNASDAQVerisk Analytics Inc. | 2018-06-122018-07-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.84% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -0.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.