20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BACNYSEBank of America Corporation | 2015-06-192015-07-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.10% |
| 2 | EOGNYSEEOG Resources, Inc. | 2020-09-152020-10-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.34% |
| 3 | HBANNASDAQHuntington Bancshares Incorporated | 2015-06-192015-07-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.91% |
| 4 | MSNYSEMorgan Stanley | 2015-06-192015-07-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.49% |
| 5 | METNYSEMetLife Inc. | 2015-06-192015-07-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.33% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 80% of the time with a median move of -1.5%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.