20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETNNYSEEaton Corporation plc | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.17% |
| 2 | DENYSEDeere & Company | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.75% |
| 3 | EMRNYSEEmerson Electric Co. | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.07% |
| 4 | NCLHNYSENorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 2017-12-272018-01-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.64% |
| 5 | HUBBNYSEHubbell Inc. | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.39% |
| 6 | XYLNYSEXylem Inc. | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.04% |
| 7 | JBHTNASDAQJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.28% |
| 8 | JCINYSEJohnson Controls International plc | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.75% |
| 9 | BRNYSEBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 2008-07-022008-07-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.20% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 56% of the time with a median move of -0.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -6.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.