20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GSNYSEThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 2011-06-302011-07-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -7.07% |
| 2 | HSYNYSEThe Hershey Company | 2015-09-152015-10-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.87% |
| 3 | KEYNYSEKeyCorp | 2020-08-102020-09-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.62% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -1.9%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.