20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CINYSEThe Cigna Group | 2008-05-212008-06-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -7.76% |
| 2 | HIGNYSEThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 2011-03-182011-04-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.36% |
| 3 | CNYSECitigroup Inc. | 2010-10-222010-11-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.42% |
| 4 | SJMNYSEThe J.M. Smucker Company | 2009-08-072009-09-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.36% |
| 5 | DOVNYSEDover Corporation | 2011-03-182011-04-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.36% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +4.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.