20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADINASDAQAnalog Devices, Inc. | 2021-01-122021-02-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.51% |
| 2 | CRLNYSECharles River Laboratories International, Inc. | 2019-09-172019-10-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.91% |
| 3 | APHNYSEAmphenol Corporation | 2023-04-112023-05-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.52% |
| 4 | DALNYSEDelta Air Lines, Inc. | 2024-05-132024-06-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.56% |
| 5 | LNYSELoews Corporation | 2008-09-242008-10-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk2.0 | -11.97% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 60% of the time with a median move of -1.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -12.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.