20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BXNYSEBlackstone Inc. | 2021-09-162021-10-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.43% |
| 2 | MKCNYSEMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | 2011-11-072011-12-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.12% |
| 3 | DECKNYSEDeckers Outdoor Corporation | 2016-10-112016-11-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +15.27% |
| 4 | EFXNYSEEquifax Inc. | 2023-08-012023-08-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.28% |
| 5 | ACGLNASDAQArch Capital Group Ltd | 2009-02-192009-03-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -0.23% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +2.3%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -0.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.