20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DPZNASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc. | 2007-08-072007-09-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.57% |
| 2 | NFLXNASDAQNetflix, Inc. | 2007-11-212007-12-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +10.37% |
| 3 | BXNYSEBlackstone Inc. | 2012-03-022012-03-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.90% |
| 4 | MTBNYSEM&T Bank Corporation | 2018-10-222018-11-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.61% |
| 5 | NVRNYSENVR, Inc. | 2025-10-302025-11-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.62% |
| 6 | MSINYSEMotorola Solutions, Inc. | 2023-08-222023-09-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.30% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 33% and a median move of -0.8%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.