20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PGNYSEProcter & Gamble Co | 2010-06-172010-07-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.41% |
| 2 | ROPNASDAQRoper Technologies Inc. | 2012-12-112013-01-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.92% |
| 3 | DPZNASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc. | 2021-02-172021-03-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.30% |
| 4 | AXPNYSEAmerican Express Company | 2012-12-112013-01-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.60% |
| 5 | AMPNYSEAmeriprise Financial, Inc. | 2023-12-292024-01-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.77% |
| 6 | VNYSEVisa Inc. Class A | 2012-12-112013-01-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.98% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -0.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.