20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KKRNYSEKKR & Co. Inc. | 2024-08-202024-09-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.45% |
| 2 | MRKNYSEMerck & Co., Inc. | 2016-11-162016-12-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.83% |
| 3 | DRINYSEDarden Restaurants, Inc. | 2007-01-082007-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.87% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +2.9%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.