20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
13 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALGNNASDAQAlign Technology, Inc. | 2016-04-132016-05-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.78% |
| 2 | DDNYSEDuPont de Nemours Inc. | 2015-01-092015-02-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.51% |
| 3 | HPENYSEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 2025-05-282025-06-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +14.93% |
| 4 | KHCNASDAQThe Kraft Heinz Company | 2017-10-122017-11-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.01% |
| 5 | MRSHNYSEMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | 2018-05-102018-06-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.30% |
| 6 | LUVNYSESouthwest Airlines Co. | 2024-09-092024-10-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.02% |
| 7 | STZNYSEConstellation Brands, Inc. | 2010-03-232010-04-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -0.38% |
| 8 | DISNYSEThe Walt Disney Company | 2021-01-082021-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.59% |
| 9 | CLXNYSEThe Clorox Company | 2020-02-112020-03-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +13.07% |
| 10 | BF.BNYSEBrown-Forman Corporation | 2011-03-242011-04-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.62% |
| 11 | ANETNYSEArista Networks, Inc. | 2017-10-172017-11-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +7.41% |
| 12 | LNYSELoews Corporation | 2012-08-072012-09-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.69% |
| 13 | NFLXNASDAQNetflix, Inc. | 2012-11-142012-12-12 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.58% |
Showing 1-13 of 13 matches
Commentary
Moderately bullish skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 13 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 62% of the time with a median move of +1.7%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -2.0%.