20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
1 historical setup matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HLTNYSEHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 2026-01-262026-02-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -2.20% |
Showing 1-1 of 1 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 1 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -2.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.