20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DISNYSEThe Walt Disney Company | 2021-01-082021-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.59% |
| 2 | ARESNYSEAres Management Corporation | 2021-01-082021-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.69% |
| 3 | NTAPNASDAQNetApp, Inc. | 2014-04-302014-05-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.57% |
| 4 | IPNYSEInternational Paper Company | 2007-11-052007-12-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.66% |
| 5 | CVSNYSECVS Health Corporation | 2025-07-082025-08-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.58% |
| 6 | TERNASDAQTeradyne, Inc. | 2018-10-082018-11-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.44% |
| 7 | KLACNASDAQKLA Corporation | 2018-10-082018-11-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.13% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 71% of the time with a median move of +2.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.