20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HBANNASDAQHuntington Bancshares Incorporated | 2023-05-102023-06-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.17% |
| 2 | LINNASDAQLinde plc | 2014-10-092014-11-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.37% |
| 3 | KEYNYSEKeyCorp | 2018-07-112018-08-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.05% |
| 4 | ORLYNASDAQO'Reilly Automotive Inc. | 2022-12-132023-01-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.85% |
| 5 | TPLNYSETexas Pacific Land Corporation | 2013-12-032013-12-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.54% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 80% of the time with a median move of -1.5%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.