20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AMCRNYSEAmcor plc | 2024-02-132024-03-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.16% |
| 2 | JCINYSEJohnson Controls International plc | 2025-11-182025-12-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.92% |
| 3 | MRKNYSEMerck & Co., Inc. | 2007-08-142007-09-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.24% |
| 4 | MDLZNASDAQMondelez International, Inc. | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.11% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.6%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -1.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.