20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIINYSELennox International Inc. | 2025-05-072025-06-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.88% |
| 2 | CARRNYSECarrier Global Corporation | 2025-05-072025-06-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +1.53% |
| 3 | ETRNYSEEntergy Corporation | 2013-12-172014-01-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.92% |
| 4 | IBMNYSEInternational Business Machines Corporation | 2012-08-072012-09-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.49% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.