20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AAPLNASDAQApple Inc. | 2023-04-112023-05-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.69% |
| 2 | NVRNYSENVR, Inc. | 2017-11-022017-11-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.51% |
| 3 | LIINYSELennox International Inc. | 2020-08-062020-09-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.04% |
| 4 | UNHNYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 2023-11-032023-12-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.48% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -1.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -6.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.