20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HIGNYSEThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 2022-07-142022-08-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.83% |
| 2 | AIGNYSEAmerican International Group Inc. | 2022-07-142022-08-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.22% |
| 3 | TRVNYSEThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | 2022-07-142022-08-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.42% |
| 4 | SPGINYSES&P Global Inc. | 2010-02-082010-03-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.51% |
| 5 | CTASNASDAQCintas Corporation | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.68% |
| 6 | NEENYSENextEra Energy, Inc. | 2025-04-162025-05-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.90% |
| 7 | CBNYSEChubb Limited | 2022-07-142022-08-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.87% |
| 8 | MNSTNASDAQMonster Beverage Corporation | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.09% |
| 9 | KONYSEThe Coca-Cola Company | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -0.95% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +3.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -0.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.