20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HPENYSEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 2020-07-072020-08-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.24% |
| 2 | ODFLNASDAQOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 2021-03-042021-03-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.90% |
| 3 | LUVNYSESouthwest Airlines Co. | 2024-01-122024-02-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.43% |
| 4 | FIXNYSEComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 2024-03-112024-04-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.63% |
| 5 | NDSNNASDAQNordson Corporation | 2018-07-232018-08-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.93% |
| 6 | BRK.BNYSEBerkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B | 2015-01-282015-02-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.59% |
| 7 | STENYSESTERIS plc | 2009-03-092009-04-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.99% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 71% of the time with a median move of +1.9%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -5.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.