20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALLENYSEAllegion plc | 2014-10-012014-10-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.82% |
| 2 | KDPNASDAQKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. | 2014-04-022014-04-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.27% |
| 3 | CBNYSEChubb Limited | 2016-04-152016-05-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.42% |
| 4 | ALLNYSEAllstate Corporation | 2016-04-152016-05-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.04% |
| 5 | LOWNYSELowe's Companies Inc. | 2018-06-192018-07-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.22% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +0.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -1.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.