20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVGONASDAQBroadcom Inc. | 2015-07-312015-08-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.97% |
| 2 | ABBVNYSEAbbVie Inc. | 2015-12-172016-01-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.28% |
| 3 | AWKNYSEAmerican Water Works Company, Inc. | 2008-09-032008-09-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -8.74% |
| 4 | CAGNYSEConagra Brands Inc. | 2015-10-232015-11-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +1.34% |
| 5 | WMTNASDAQWalmart Inc. | 2007-12-122008-01-10 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -1.90% |
| 6 | AAPLNASDAQApple Inc. | 2025-07-112025-08-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +5.93% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -0.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -8.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.