20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XELNASDAQXcel Energy Inc. | 2010-08-092010-09-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.39% |
| 2 | HRLNYSEHormel Foods Corporation | 2019-12-202020-01-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.21% |
| 3 | TTWONASDAQTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. | 2023-10-162023-11-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.40% |
| 4 | WTWNASDAQWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | 2015-07-092015-08-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.78% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +0.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.