20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LINNASDAQLinde plc | 2011-05-242011-06-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.21% |
| 2 | CMSNYSECMS Energy Corporation | 2015-01-282015-02-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.44% |
| 3 | SBUXNASDAQStarbucks Corporation | 2025-08-262025-09-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.27% |
| 4 | PNRNYSEPentair plc | 2011-05-242011-06-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.00% |
| 5 | AWKNYSEAmerican Water Works Company, Inc. | 2015-01-282015-02-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.89% |
| 6 | DPZNASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc. | 2022-12-202023-01-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.49% |
| 7 | MDLZNASDAQMondelez International, Inc. | 2020-11-302020-12-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.04% |
| 8 | TMUSNASDAQT-Mobile US, Inc. | 2009-10-022009-10-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -7.68% |
| 9 | NEENYSENextEra Energy, Inc. | 2011-03-312011-04-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.39% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 56% and a median move of +0.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.