20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
31 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NINYSENiSource Inc. | 2012-08-312012-09-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.98% |
| 2 | AJGNYSEArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 2018-07-032018-07-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.34% |
| 3 | AIZNYSEAssurant Inc. | 2016-12-052017-01-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.08% |
| 4 | MCHPNASDAQMicrochip Technology Incorporated | 2012-07-312012-08-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.38% |
| 5 | MCKNYSEMcKesson Corporation | 2013-07-232013-08-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.62% |
| 6 | IBMNYSEInternational Business Machines Corporation | 2013-01-172013-02-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.72% |
| 7 | MCDNYSEMcDonald's Corporation | 2025-02-052025-03-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.62% |
| 8 | EOGNYSEEOG Resources, Inc. | 2016-08-022016-08-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.05% |
| 9 | MONYSEAltria Group, Inc. | 2023-01-272023-02-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.36% |
| 10 | TJXNYSEThe TJX Companies, Inc. | 2024-08-162024-09-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.57% |
| 11 | CBRENYSECBRE Group Inc. | 2014-04-282014-05-23 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.40% |
| 12 | EPAMNYSEEpam Systems Inc. | 2012-09-112012-10-08 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.96% |
| 13 | SBUXNASDAQStarbucks Corporation | 2019-07-232019-08-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.17% |
| 14 | INCYNASDAQIncyte Corporation | 2021-12-102022-01-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.31% |
| 15 | RCLNYSERoyal Caribbean Group | 2010-12-162011-01-13 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.86% |
| 16 | CMCSANASDAQComcast Corp | 2008-04-282008-05-23 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.16% |
| 17 | WSTNYSEWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | 2023-02-132023-03-13 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.34% |
| 18 | MRKNYSEMerck & Co., Inc. | 2014-01-082014-02-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.75% |
| 19 | AMDNASDAQAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 2012-03-122012-04-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.65% |
| 20 | DVANYSEDaVita Inc. | 2019-11-012019-11-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.30% |
Showing 1-20 of 31 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew
Similar setups appeared 31 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 65% of the time with a median move of +0.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -10.5%.