20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NTAPNASDAQNetApp, Inc. | 2022-06-162022-07-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.02% |
| 2 | AMCRNYSEAmcor plc | 2025-03-252025-04-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.41% |
| 3 | DECKNYSEDeckers Outdoor Corporation | 2022-06-162022-07-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.57% |
| 4 | LULUNASDAQlululemon athletica inc. | 2022-06-162022-07-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +6.32% |
| 5 | NVDANASDAQNVIDIA Corporation | 2022-06-162022-07-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +9.88% |
| 6 | COFNYSECapital One Financial Corporation | 2008-12-012008-12-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +16.48% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 83% of the time with a median move of +7.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.