20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NVDANASDAQNVIDIA Corporation | 2024-10-072024-11-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +9.03% |
| 2 | PPGNYSEPPG Industries Inc. | 2022-03-152022-04-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.60% |
| 3 | AONNYSEAon plc | 2023-06-142023-07-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.82% |
| 4 | CASYNASDAQCasey's General Stores Inc. | 2023-03-272023-04-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.04% |
| 5 | PCARNASDAQPACCAR Inc. | 2010-05-262010-06-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -7.37% |
| 6 | AFLNYSEAflac Inc. | 2016-04-132016-05-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.48% |
| 7 | LNYSELoews Corporation | 2017-07-182017-08-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.15% |
| 8 | IBKRNASDAQInteractive Brokers Group Inc. | 2011-03-182011-04-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.65% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +0.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.