20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FASTNASDAQFastenal Co. | 2013-04-262013-05-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.60% |
| 2 | MSCINYSEMSCI Inc. | 2016-12-192017-01-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.52% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +0.6%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, with the weakest outcome at +0.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.