20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CTSHNASDAQCognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | 2013-03-272013-04-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.52% |
| 2 | AAPLNASDAQApple Inc. | 2012-12-172013-01-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +5.78% |
| 3 | FCXNYSEFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | 2024-06-202024-07-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -3.03% |
| 4 | BDXNYSEBecton, Dickinson and Company | 2018-02-232018-03-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk4.0 | +1.62% |
| 5 | HALNYSEHalliburton Company | 2017-09-272017-10-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +3.31% |
| 6 | JBLNYSEJabil Inc. | 2016-10-052016-11-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk3.0 | +1.24% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 83% of the time with a median move of +2.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.