20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FASTNASDAQFastenal Co. | 2014-10-012014-10-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.87% |
| 2 | LUVNYSESouthwest Airlines Co. | 2024-04-162024-05-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.79% |
| 3 | DECKNYSEDeckers Outdoor Corporation | 2015-10-292015-11-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.09% |
| 4 | GDDYNYSEGodaddy Inc. | 2016-01-272016-02-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +8.05% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -4.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.