20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADMNYSEArcher-Daniels-Midland Co | 2014-10-162014-11-12 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.45% |
| 2 | DXCMNASDAQDexCom, Inc. | 2018-03-092018-04-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.18% |
| 3 | KRNYSEKroger Co. | 2011-03-282011-04-25 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.74% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +3.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -0.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.