20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DLTRNASDAQDollar Tree, Inc. | 2018-09-052018-10-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.49% |
| 2 | MTDNYSEMettler-Toledo International Inc. | 2023-01-272023-02-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.64% |
| 3 | BF.BNYSEBrown-Forman Corporation | 2007-10-182007-11-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.07% |
| 4 | GMNYSEGeneral Motors Company | 2011-02-012011-03-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.70% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +0.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -0.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.